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Genius signed deals with both Polymarket and Kalshi in August, to provide real-time event data and league integrity services, as well as streaming services. Fellow data provider Sportradar also announced similar multi-year partnerships with both Kalshi and Polymarket in June.
Initial reaction from investors was largely unfavourable. Genius shares plunged 13% on 18 Sept., falling 17% for the week. The data provider closed the session at $5.64 per share, well below the $6.19 price when it announced the Legend acquisition in February.
The launch of Prediction.com comes amid a strategic integration phase following Genius Sports’ acquisition of Legend.
About Cranky Panda
Set on a 5×4 grid with 40 paylines, the reels feature returning favourites alongside new characters like the Ticket Master, Bomber, and Pyromancer. The Nuclear Wild feature can trigger at any spin, locking onto reels and detonating into full wild reels for powerful wins. Land 3 or more Bonus symbols to enter the bonus round, where each symbol adds a multiplier and 3 spins. New symbols reset the spins, while Ticket symbols push the train forward through stations, carrying it deeper across the wasteland toward its final destination. With relentless progression, layered features, and explosive potential at every turn, Money Train 5 offers win potential up to 50,000x the bet in Standard Mode, rising to 100,000x in Ultra Mode.
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“Recent launches, including customizable same-game parlays (SGPs), further support our view that Prediction Markets (PM) are increasingly converging with traditional sportsbooks,” observes Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon. “As a result, we now estimate total US PM taker volume to reach $190 billion in 2026E (vs $169 billion prior).”
If the research firm’s $190 billion taker volume estimate proves accurate, it’d represent a more than eightfold increase from the $22 billion taker turnover seen last year.
Potentially boding well for the Macquarie forecast are at least two factors. First, there are signs of turnover increases across a variety of yes/no exchanges. Second, volume surged to start September with those spikes arriving even before the NFL season kicked off.